. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. Slovakia's Smer back on top of opinion polls ahead of snap election bne IntelliNews 10:02 27-Feb-23. Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Since devolution, the annual Scottish Social Attitudes Survey has contained a question on independence. Automotive. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. In all polls the dont knows are removed. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention". In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. But we can't do it without you. It's Andrew's Previews for. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". Reform UK are also polling in the region of 6-7%. Read more, Editorial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected], Commercial enquiries, please contact: [emailprotected]. Indeed between October 2020 and January 2021, the two major parties were running neck and neck. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. While polls should always be treated with caution, Labour supporters have celebrated the latest figures. All Rights Reserved. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. It was a survey of more than 1,700 British adults. Something went wrong, please try again later. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. YouGov: 24 Apr 2020 - 27 Apr 2020: 1,095: 25: 15: 6 : 2: 51; Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland: 01 May 2020 - 05 May 2020: 1,086: 26: 17: 5 : 2: 50; Panelbase/Scot Goes Pop: In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Get the day's top headlines delivered to your inbox. 2019 thelondoneconomic.com - TLE, International House, 24 Holborn Viaduct, London EC1A 2BN. Former Sun boss and arch right-winger Kelvin MacKenzie also seemed to reach the same conclusion. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? In early March 2023, the Labour Party continue to consolidate their substantial lead over the Conservatives, one which is now trending at 21%.. Polling averages extrapolated in the 3 weeks to 2 March place Labour on 47.3%, the Conservatives on 26.8%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.3%. Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. A Y Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off The pollster found. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2). Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) In early November 2021, the furore over the resignation of the Conservative MP Owen Patterson saw the trend Conservative vote share fall by a further 3%. Keir Starmer has finally found his Clause IV moment. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data. Charles and Camilla break silence after Frogxit fall out with business-as-usual engagements, The Palace has not yet commented on the move to remove Prince Harry and Meghan from Frogmore - instead sending out a release about forthcoming official engagements, No prominent backers appear for Ash Regan despite claims endorsements would arrive this week. This once again reaffirms how sleaze and scandal remain the most potent political weapons in British politics, ones which can quickly and easily cut through to voters. Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. Education. About; Social . Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. /Which party are you most inclined to support? Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. In response to the Redfield and Wilton poll, Scots Labour peer Lord Foulkes tweeted: "SNP on the slide. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. The latest Panelbase survey. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Latest news on Scottish Opinion Polls, including political opinion polls, voting intention polls, and opinion poll analysis. Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. We do not charge or put articles behind a paywall. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. Forgot your password? We only ask you to donate what you can afford, with an option to cancel your subscription at any point. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? Should the public's feeling remain largely down. READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. conducted. Any variations that might have an impact on the poll result, such as excluding 16- to 17-year-old voters, are recorded in the 'Notes' column. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? All Rights Reserved. Changes are shown as (vs that poll / vs last election). Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . Britain Elects. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Topic . Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . The Conservatives have climbed by three percentage points to 33 per cent since the last poll. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r Marie Stewart Obituary, The Laureate Forest Acres, Articles L