He voted for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections and said hed vote for him again if he were the Republican nominee. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. In addition to Florida Gov. Its going to affect trucking, farming, everything. The issues most important to Fannin include the economy, border security, and the virus. He also intends to vote in personto ensure his vote is counted that day, although he used a mail-in ballot to vote in the primary. When Republican Dr. Ted Bowlus defeated Democrat Joel Kuhlman in the 2016 election, it completed a single-party commission. The morale of the people up there is bad. But its still anyones game when taking into account the 1.2 million unaffiliated or other-party voters and the roughly 70 percent voter turnout. More importantly, someone needs to be in office who understands that running the country is like running a business, said Hawker, who worked as a staff engineer for Bendix Braking Systems in Elyria for 52 years. That doesnt make sense to me, Tisdell said. Its home to four universities, filled with many Democratic-leaning students. That is, until this year. Sam, who is a truck driver for Four City Technologies in Wellington but lives in Marblehead, said he drives about 400 miles a day to deliver bolts, nuts, and screws used in the auto industry. Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. Colleton County, South Carolina - one miss since 1968 (in 1980), perfect since 1984. Vigo County voters supported Trump by a 15 percent margin in 2016. John Hawker, a 74-year-old Port Clinton resident who grew up in Toledo, was sitting at the end of the bar and also weighed in on the state of affairs. Im not happy with the way things are now. The county, which includes spring and summer destinations such as Kelleys Island, Marblehead, and Put-in-Bay, currently is in hibernation. Westmoreland is the only one of the counties in the South, Clallam is the only one on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. Those who believe that Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election have held up his victories in many bellwether counties as evidence of electoral fraud. I know a lot of people dont like him, because of his tweets and things that he says, and I kind of agree with that. March 3, 2023 Updated: March 3, 2023. He soon lost his car, because he fell behind on license plate fees. Its too big. One older woman with a Biden sign outside her home simply said, Im voting for Biden, and thats all Ive got to say.. Peloton plans to complete construction on the building on its 200-acre property and sell it, but will downsize its workforce. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. Swept up in unproven voter fraud claims, the Shasta County Board of Supervisors has upended the county's election process, canceling its contract with . Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. Supply chain issues also have plagued the restaurant industry, not just with food such as chicken and other meats, but also supplies, Chamberlin said. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. The way the system works now, if you get in as a young person on something small, its very hard to get out. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Guests are invited to enjoy live music from The BanDura BanDuo, featuring Angelika and Justin Mehes, a brother-sister musical act, visit the Cheremosh Ukrainian Dance Ensemble's costume display featuring traditional Ukrainian folk dance costumes, and connect with the . You expect the price of things to go up, thats inflation for you, Tammy said. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. As a father, I would be curious about what my kids are doing.. Hes concerned about big government, burdensome regulations, and encroachments on the Constitution. Its difficult to have a conversation nowadays without really stirring up emotions, and thats probably my main issue, Hamilton told The Epoch Times as he stood in downtown Terre Haute. I just think theres going to be a lot of problems if he doesnt become our president all the violence and the riots. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high-scoring counties, they said. And its never going to come back.. The counties tend to be clustered in the Midwest and the Northeast, with only four of the counties not falling into one of those regions, they said. Shortages are all over the place, Miller said. He was an apprentice and then a journeyman in a local steamfitters union for about 10 years before he was laid off. While the Royal Drive In has been in the family for 60 years and serves a steady stream of local regulars, Martin says she wont recover until at least next summer, when she can get an extra boost, especially from traveling Canadiansas long as the border is open. The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. This includes personalizing content and advertising. While declining to say which political party he supports or how he votes, he told The Epoch Times that he used to work at the Frickers in Findlay, which is south of Bowling Green, but transferred to his current location last year because of the high price of gas. Jeff Myers, a lifelong Vigo County resident in Riley, on the other hand, wont let the big events of the day, such as riots and the pandemic, determine his vote. Though Myers leans toward Trump, he hasnt made up his mind to vote for him yet; he didnt vote for Trump in 2016. Since picking the winning candidate in Democrat Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964, it has deviated from the winner only twice. RIDGWAY, Pa.Tucked into a wooded valley in north-central Pennsylvania is the bellwether borough of Ridgway, the county seat . The median household annual income is approximately $20,000 less in the county than it is nationally. Greg Abbott of Texas as a possible presidential candidate. We have vendors and suppliers we contract with, Chamberlin said. This is a high farming community.. Westmoreland is the only one in the South; Clallam is the only county on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. Before the 2020 election, Clallam was one of 19 counties with an unbroken record of voting for the winning presidential candidate since 1980. It will cycle through. I think they [the current administration] are trying to push us into buying electric cars. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. I think its very political right now, honestly. It swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016, and political science professor Matthew Bergbower says its something akin to a purple county.. He cares about the American people.. Many of its residents include farmers, retirees who love to fish, and more than 3,300 military veterans. He is his own worst enemy.. Haotian Chen University of California, Irvine Itll be interesting to see who wins Sen. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Things happen for a reason, and its out of our control until things change, Brendon told The Epoch Times. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Jim was awarded the Reed Irvine Accuracy in . Theyre scared. In addition to seeing a 25 percent increase in fuel costs in the past year, the company has resorted to buying used trucks instead of new ones when it needs them. Overall, the county is in good shape, and has a lot going for it.. I tend to vote my morals, Myers told The Epoch Times. For the first time in as long as she can remember, since becoming a registered voter 35 years ago, all three county commissioners are Republicans. Martin thinks the Democrats could have chosen a better candidate than Biden. America's most accurate bellwether counties, regions that have a reputation for accurately picking the president, got the presidential election completely wrong. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. Enforce the ones that you do have, he said. Blaine County. He didnt vote in 2016 either. In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole. These counties also disproportionately came from the Midwest and the Northeast. Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain. Well just have to wait and see who will go into the building. And then you have the Biden folks that are like, This is just nutty,' he said. Even if the mean likelihood of a match between county and presidential outcome is exactly 50 percent, in the classic argument offered by Deutsch and Madow in 1961, on the appearance of wisdom in large organizations, some counties will, by chance alone, have high records of predictive success and some may even have perfect records, especially if there are many counties and if we limit the number of elections over which we are requiring successful predictions. Those are the biggest issuesthe economy and national security. He worked for a tree service company for some years, but was laid off again. Jason Armagost of Mudbeards Bikes and Boards has chosen to stay out of politics and doesnt vote. Getting fertilizer can be a challenge.. Results from 28 counties have still not been finalized, per Brookings Institution. Whether you respect the man or not, he is still the president of the United States and you should respect that.. Two states have announced recounts. If riots break out in our area and we dont have firearms, how are we going to protect our family and ourselves?. Logistically, its a disaster. Im not happy with either party. His message to Trump is: Shut up and quit twittering. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Trump is a person who just couldnt accept defeat, Ellithorpe said. Im kind of leaning toward being an independent. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. The registered Republican voters (8,455) outnumber the registered Democrats (6,731) in Ottawa County. The 19 bellwether counties are highlighted in red. I dont feel good about the leadership in our country right now.. They are not even the regular masks to filter it out. Now, being more than $3 a gallon, people are beginning to notice it more as its putting a pinch on their wallets. It seems that Im having to think about whos lying the least, Myers said. He was concerned about the situation in Ukraine. 2016 Trump. Myers works as an electrician and long supported the Democratic Party along with his union. They also found that high scoring counties do exhibit a geographic trend. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. Why are you trying so hard to get this one guy out of office? he said of the disproven Russian collusion accusations and the presidents impeachment. Your email address will not be published. He said Vigo County is fairly evenly divided between those who identify as Republicans and those who identify as Democrats. Under a changed political landscape in Ottawa County, Commissioner Mark Coppeler, a Republican, also looked at the bigger picture. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughter's house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20,. There are three counties that voted with the eventual winner for each of the past 10 elections,. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. While Zulch said he voted for Trump in both presidential elections, he says hell have to wait and see who runs before saying who he would vote for in 2024. She shook her head at the high price of gas. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. The Epoch Times spoke with some voters in Terre Haute and surrounding towns on Oct. 20 to get a glimpse of the bellwether mood ahead of the presidential election. You have to take the lesser of two evils. This year, after seeing the country shut down amid the pandemic, and seeing riots break out in many cities, I just think its time that I should start voting, she said. The 19 bellwethers tend to be poorer, whiter, older, and less educated than the rest of the country, according to an August paper by researchers from the University of Denver and University of New Hampshire. We are a rural county here, Hill told The Epoch Times. He doesnt seem like a really bad guy. To find out more about cookies and change your preferences, visit our, looked to ten allegedly bellwether counties, The Russia-Ukraine War: a challenge to international order, Global Energy Politics and Cost of Living Crisis, The New Normal: a dual track approach to health strategy and policy, Inside the Deal: how the EU got Brexit done. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. By Cara Ding. Its just too depressing, too much bad and evil going on in the world, Shepherd told The Epoch Times. Ottawa County along Lake Erie in northwest Ohio had one of the nation's longest streaks of supporting the presidential candidate who won the White House. Shortened URL for this post:https://bit.ly/3JzjZ3j. Since then, he has been doing odd jobs, such as cutting grass or trimming trees for neighbors. I would never vote any other way. With the price of gas going up, Zulch is afraid of a return to high fuel prices caused by Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana 16 years ago and that soaring costs will again hurt his business. Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! What Should Fiscal and Social Policy in a Sustainable Economy Look Like? Hes concerned a Biden administration would mean an end to fracking, higher gas prices, and utility bill hikes. Given the global context of Russias invasion of Ukraine, they believe higher gas prices and inflation is coming, and theyre not happy about it. Of Wood Countys 92,119 registered voters, 9,479 of them are Democrats, 8,315 are Republicans, and 74,240 are independents, according to numbers from the Board of Elections. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about four points on average. Vance. For example, if we call a county a bellwether if it has one less correct match than the number of elections in a sequence, we will get nearly 19 bellwethers even in a set of eleven elections, and in a set of seven elections, we will see 197 bellwethers far more than the 27 we would find under our assumptions when we require a bellwether to have an unblemished record of predictive success. Jim Hoft. As part of The Epoch Times Association, Inc., a nonprofit organization we stand outside of political interests and the pursuit of profit, to educate readers about today's most critical issues . I find that hard to believe. The Princeton political scientist, Edward Tufte opens his 1975 co-authored article on bellwethers with: Prior to the 1936 presidential election, the conventional political wisdom had it that as Maine voted, so went the rest of the nation. I believe in a time cycle. She registered as a Democrat about 40 years ago and has never bothered to change her affiliation, although she voted for Trump in 2016 and plans to do the same this year. The simple answer is that chance effects can be much greater than most people realize. Jacobs, 58, a gift store manager in Ridgway, said she voted for Obama but didnt follow politics closely at the time. Theres significant variability among them though. What happened to our Democratic Party? In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. Four City Technologies makes the lock-tight coatings on the threads of the components. One major planned project in Wood County pulled outPeloton, an exercise bike and interactive exercise equipment manufacturer. In the southern area just off Interstate 75 sits Bowling Green, the county seat and home of Bowling Green State University and Doyt L. Perry Stadium, where the Falcons draw large crowds in the Mid-American Conference. Ive heard all the whiners complaining about what hes doing, but I havent really seen anything hardcore. Peoples common sense level is cooked. The Epoch Times spoke with some voters in Terre Haute and surrounding towns on Oct. 20 to get a glimpse of the bellwether mood ahead of the presidential election. I think Trump was the better president, said Beggs, who worked for the city for 45 years. Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of USAPP American Politics and Policy, nor the London School of Economics. What you need to know, summarized in one email. We need to finish putting up the wall that Trump started. She also said that many people who come into the pub are outspoken about the current state of affairs in the United States, especially on Saturdays when the crowds are larger. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to, nationally. He won nineteen-to-twenty bellwether counties. Its crazy. Missouri fits this definition, as do six counties that have matched the national vote. March 1, 2023 8:28 PM PT. "The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. Ohios Ottawa County: Staying Afloat as One of the Top Bellwether Counties in the Country.
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